niman Posted June 28, 2016 Report Posted June 28, 2016 (edited) Among the epidemiological weeks 01 to 24, 2016 have been11 confirmed cases of microcephaly associated Zika virus, 51cases were discarded and 102 cases are under study http://www.ins.gov.co/boletin-epidemiologico/Boletn Epidemiolgico/2016 Boletín epidemiológico semana 24.pdf Edited June 28, 2016 by niman
niman Posted June 28, 2016 Author Report Posted June 28, 2016 Five new confirmed microcephaly cases in Colombia may be harbingers of epidemicJune 28, 2016Just when it seemed that missing cases of microcephaly in Colombia were straining the credibility of the Zika virus' connection to the birth defects, the latest report from Colombia includes five new cases of microcephaly with Zika infections.A recent report by the New England Complex Systems Institute (NECSI) noted that, despite their supposed connection, cases of microcephaly were not rising in sync with Zika's epidemic spread. Of all the countries reporting cases, only Brazil has reported a distinctively large number of birth defects. In Colombia, a study of 12,000 pregnant, Zika-infected women reported in the New England Journal of Medicine had not shown any cases of microcephaly. The cases of microcephaly reported from outside the study could be explained by the background rate of microcephaly from unrelated causes.The new report from Colombia states that there are a total of 11 confirmed cases of microcephaly with Zika infections until June 18, five more than the number confirmed as of the previous week. The previous confirmed case, the sixth, was confirmed four weeks earlier. According to the NECSI analysis, it and the five other reported cases of microcephaly with Zika infections were consistent with the random co-occurence of each of them separately, and therefore should not be attributed to Zika as the cause.The five new confirmed Zika and microcephaly cases provide the best evidence available for an impending microcephaly epidemic in Colombia. In an updated report released today, NECSI points out that given the timing and number of Zika-affected pregnancies, the total can be expected to rise to 200 microcephaly cases in the next few months. This means the rate of such births should rise dramatically, reaching over 10 microcephaly and Zika births each week, well above the background rate.Whether or not Zika and microcephaly are linked will be conclusively determined from reports over the next few weeks.http://medicalxpress.com/news/2016-06-microcephaly-cases-colombia-harbingers-epidemic.html
Just when it seemed that missing cases of microcephaly in Colombia were straining the credibility of the Zika virus' connection to the birth defects, the latest report from Colombia includes five new cases of microcephaly with Zika infections.A recent report by the New England Complex Systems Institute (NECSI) noted that, despite their supposed connection, cases of microcephaly were not rising in sync with Zika's epidemic spread. Of all the countries reporting cases, only Brazil has reported a distinctively large number of birth defects. In Colombia, a study of 12,000 pregnant, Zika-infected women reported in the New England Journal of Medicine had not shown any cases of microcephaly. The cases of microcephaly reported from outside the study could be explained by the background rate of microcephaly from unrelated causes.The new report from Colombia states that there are a total of 11 confirmed cases of microcephaly with Zika infections until June 18, five more than the number confirmed as of the previous week. The previous confirmed case, the sixth, was confirmed four weeks earlier. According to the NECSI analysis, it and the five other reported cases of microcephaly with Zika infections were consistent with the random co-occurence of each of them separately, and therefore should not be attributed to Zika as the cause.The five new confirmed Zika and microcephaly cases provide the best evidence available for an impending microcephaly epidemic in Colombia. In an updated report released today, NECSI points out that given the timing and number of Zika-affected pregnancies, the total can be expected to rise to 200 microcephaly cases in the next few months. This means the rate of such births should rise dramatically, reaching over 10 microcephaly and Zika births each week, well above the background rate.Whether or not Zika and microcephaly are linked will be conclusively determined from reports over the next few weeks.http://medicalxpress.com/news/2016-06-microcephaly-cases-colombia-harbingers-epidemic.html
niman Posted June 28, 2016 Author Report Posted June 28, 2016 Map Updatehttps://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1RcVTrkYW6hax_iITjKUkEcBCVeI
niman Posted June 28, 2016 Author Report Posted June 28, 2016 Five new confirmed microcephaly cases in Colombia may be harbingers of epidemicDate:June 28, 2016Source:New England Complex Systems InstituteSummary:Just when it seemed that missing cases of microcephaly in Colombia were straining the credibility of the Zika virus' connection to the birth defects, the latest report from Colombia includes five new cases of microcephaly with Zika infections.Share:AddThis Sharing ButtonsFULL STORY Just when it seemed that missing cases of microcephaly in Colombia were straining the credibility of the Zika virus' connection to the birth defects, the latest report from Colombia includes five new cases of microcephaly with Zika infections.A recent report by the New England Complex Systems Institute (NECSI) noted that, despite their supposed connection, cases of microcephaly were not rising in sync with Zika's epidemic spread. Of all the countries reporting cases, only Brazil has reported a distinctively large number of birth defects. In Colombia, a study of 12,000 pregnant, Zika-infected women reported in the New England Journal of Medicine had not shown any cases of microcephaly. The cases of microcephaly reported from outside the study could be explained by the background rate of microcephaly from unrelated causes.The new report from Colombia states that there are a total of 11 confirmed cases of microcephaly with Zika infections until June 18, five more than the number confirmed as of the previous week. The previous confirmed case, the sixth, was confirmed four weeks earlier. According to the NECSI analysis, it and the five other reported cases of microcephaly with Zika infections were consistent with the random co-occurence of each of them separately, and therefore should not be attributed to Zika as the cause.The five new confirmed Zika and microcephaly cases provide the best evidence available for an impending microcephaly epidemic in Colombia. In an updated report released today, NECSI points out that given the timing and number of Zika-affected pregnancies, the total can be expected to rise to 200 microcephaly cases in the next few months. This means the rate of such births should rise dramatically, reaching over 10 microcephaly and Zika births each week, well above the background rate.Whether or not Zika and microcephaly are linked will be conclusively determined from reports over the next few weeks. Story Source:The above post is reprinted from materials provided by New England Complex Systems Institute. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.Journal Reference:Yaneer Bar-Yam, Raphael Parens, Alfredo J. Morales, Fred Nijhout. Is Zika the cause of Microcephaly? Status Report June 27, 2016. NECSI, June 27, 2016 [link]https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/06/160628093035.htm
Recommended Posts
Please sign in to comment
You will be able to leave a comment after signing in
Sign In Now