niman Posted October 21, 2020 Report Share Posted October 21, 2020 By Los Angeles Times Staff Updated Oct. 20, 10:58 p.m. Pacific 884,519 confirmed cases +4,456 on Tuesday 17,066 deaths +77 on Tuesday The COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly across California. Experts say the true number of people infected is unknown and likely much higher than official tallies. To better understand the spread of the virus, The Times is conducting an independent, continual survey of dozens of local health agencies across the state. What we know New cases have plateaued. New cases are holding near levels seen in the spring. Over the last seven days, the state averaged 3,224 cases per day, with 2.5% of tests coming back positive. Death tallies are dropping. The state has averaged 58.4 daily deaths over the last week. The state is slowly easing the lockdown. The governor’s system now rates 12 counties as too risky to reopen, including Los Angeles County. Other areas have begun to ease restrictions. Disparities in age and race persist. Roughly 74% of the dead were 65 or older. After adjusting for population, Latinos are now 3.3 times more likely than whites to test positive. California counties +Other trackers +More coverage + Totals Hotspots Maps Hospitals Tests Demographics Nursing homes State rankings The latest totals Coronavirus can infect people so rapidly that it has continued to spread despite shutdown orders aimed at slowing the growth of new cases and flattening the line below. The number of cases in California is now on pace to double every 201.3 days, a number used to measure how quickly the virus is spreading. CasesDeaths Cumulative cases Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.0200,000400,000600,000800,000Stay athome orderStay athome orderGovernoreases limitsGovernoreases limits884,519Oct. 20 Times survey of county and local health departments Local governments announce new cases and deaths each day, though bottlenecks in bureaucracy can introduce delays. For instance, some agencies do not report new totals on holidays and weekends, leading to lower numbers on those days. Over the past week, the state has averaged 3,224 new cases and 58.4 new deaths per day. New cases by day Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0007-dayaverage7-dayaverageData collectionerrors reportedData collectionerrors reported Deaths by day Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.0501001502007-dayaverage7-dayaverage The lines above are seven-day averages. They offer a more stable view of the trend than daily totals. The gray range marks when errors in a state computer system delayed the tabulation of new cases. Where new cases are concentrated State officials study the latest data and then rate counties to determine when and how businesses reopen. After adjusting for population, the virus is now categorized as widespread in 12 counties, keeping those areas largely locked down. Together they are home to 42% of California residents. The government doesn't release enough data to replicate its analysis, but the rate of new cases over the last seven days provides some insight into where the virus is spreading. Metric CasesDeaths Method Per 100kTotals Counties ranked by new cases per 100,000 residents 1. Tehama 176.7 cases per 100k in last 7 days176.7 cases per 100k in last 7 days7-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 2. Imperial 135.4135.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 3. Shasta 105.5105.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 4. San Bernardino 95.695.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 5. Monterey 94.694.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 6. Sonoma 91.491.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 7. Riverside 88.788.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 8. Madera 80807-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 9. Tulare 74.174.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 10. Solano 67.367.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 11. Fresno 64.364.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 12. Mendocino 64.164.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 13. Los Angeles 62.562.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 14. Lake 62.462.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 15. Napa 60.560.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 16. San Diego 59.859.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 17. Sacramento 55.855.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 18. San Luis Obispo 55.455.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 19. Yuba 54.354.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 20. Kern 52.352.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 21. San Joaquin 50.850.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 22. Inyo 49.849.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 23. Stanislaus 49.549.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 24. Yolo 46.546.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 25. Placer 45.845.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 26. Merced 45457-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 27. Glenn 43437-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 28. Plumas 42.842.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 29. Orange 41.241.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 30. Ventura 40407-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 31. Kings 39.339.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 32. Marin 39.239.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 33. Santa Cruz 39.139.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 34. Trinity 38.938.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 35. Contra Costa 38.738.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 36. Lassen 38.538.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 37. Santa Barbara 37.937.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 38. San Mateo 37.637.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 39. Sutter 37.637.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 40. Santa Clara 37.337.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 41. Alameda 32.132.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 42. San Benito 32327-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 43. Butte 30.430.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 44. San Francisco 28.328.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 45. Tuolumne 27.827.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 46. Nevada 25.225.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 47. Colusa 23.323.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 48. El Dorado 22227-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 49. Del Norte 18.218.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 50. Calaveras 17.717.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 51. Humboldt 17.717.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 52. Amador 15.915.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 53. Mono 14.114.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 54. Siskiyou 9.29.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 55. Mariposa 5.75.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 56. Alpine 007-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 57. Modoc 007-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 58. Sierra 007-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 21 Show less The Times' calculation of per capita rates can vary from what's published elsewhere. To learn more about how and why this count sometimes differs from official figures, consult our FAQ. What's open where? See how the governor has rated all 58 counties, and what that means for reopening, in our county reopening tracker. Mapping the toll The coronavirus has been found in all 58 counties, from urban Southern California to the state's rural north. Cumulative totals Metric CasesDeaths Method Per 100kTotals Confirmed cases1909901.6k2.2k3.1k5.4k7k Hover for more information. Los AngelesLos AngelesSan DiegoSan DiegoSacramentoSacramentoSan FranciscoSan FranciscoReddingReddingFresnoFresno Cumulative totals County Cases Per 100k Tuesday Deaths Per 100k Tuesday Imperial » 12,534 6,955 +59 335 185.9 – Kings » 8,155 5,433.9 +2 83 55.3 – Kern » 33,551 3,799.4 +54 413 46.8 +3 Tulare » 17,317 3,760.7 +111 279 60.6 +3 Merced » 9,386 3,488.2 +11 153 56.9 +1 Stanislaus » 17,354 3,217.9 +13 393 72.9 +1 Madera » 4,920 3,173.9 +34 73 47.1 – Fresno » 30,152 3,082.6 +101 430 44 +1 San Joaquin » 21,436 2,927.6 +240 484 66.1 – Los Angeles » 290,107 2,872.9 +686 6,912 68.4 +35 Show all Residents of cities, neighborhoods and regions all across the state have contracted the coronavirus. Here are the latest tallies for 1,107 places as released by county health departments. Confirmed cases 100 1,000 10,000 Counties that do not report cases by locality © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap Improve this map The following counties currently do not report cases by locality: Alpine, Colusa, Glenn, Lassen, Mariposa, Modoc, San Benito, Sierra, Tehama and Tuolumne Filter by countyAlameda Amador Butte Calaveras Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Los Angeles Madera Marin Mendocino Merced Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Trinity Tulare Ventura Yolo Yuba Search by name Area Confirmed cases East Los Angeles 6,797 Pomona 5,908 South Gate 4,793 Palmdale 4,688 El Monte 4,686 Boyle Heights 4,569 Downey 4,428 North Hollywood 4,373 Compton 4,310 Glendale 4,229 Show all Hospitals and patients Lockdown measures aim to slow the virus in hope of preventing hospitals from being overrun. To keep tabs on capacity, officials watch out for rapid increases in the number of patients. There are now 2,291 hospital patients statewide with a confirmed case, a change of -2% from two weeks ago. ConfirmedSuspectedBoth Intensive care and other hospitalized patients AprilJuneAug.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,000 California Department of Public Health Confirmed patients County ICU Other Total Los Angeles » 216 542 758 San Diego » 72 119 191 San Bernardino » 40 147 187 Orange » 63 105 168 Riverside » 42 115 157 Fresno » 23 77 100 Santa Clara » 26 65 91 Sacramento » 23 57 80 Stanislaus » 14 45 59 Kern » 18 38 56 Alameda » 20 33 53 Imperial » 15 26 41 Ventura » 15 15 30 Tulare » 1 27 28 Contra Costa » 5 20 25 San Francisco » 8 17 25 San Joaquin » 4 19 23 San Mateo » 7 16 23 Monterey » 7 15 22 Solano » 4 18 22 Kings » 1 19 20 Sonoma » 4 16 20 Placer » 3 16 19 Santa Barbara » 4 14 18 Yuba » 1 9 10 Santa Cruz » 5 4 9 Madera » 1 7 8 Shasta » 1 7 8 Merced » 3 3 6 Yolo » 3 3 6 Tehama » 2 4 6 Marin » 1 4 5 Napa » 0 3 3 Humboldt » 1 2 3 San Luis Obispo » 0 2 2 Butte » 2 0 2 Lake » 1 1 2 Mendocino » 1 0 1 Inyo » 0 1 1 Del Norte » 0 1 1 Nevada » 0 1 1 Tuolumne » 0 1 1 Colusa » 0 0 0 Lassen » 0 0 0 San Benito » 0 0 0 Glenn » 0 0 0 Sutter » 0 0 0 Mono » 0 0 0 Calaveras » 0 0 0 Amador » 0 0 0 El Dorado » 0 0 0 Mariposa » 0 0 0 Siskiyou » 0 0 0 Plumas » 0 0 0 Modoc » 0 0 0 Trinity » 0 0 0 Show less Officials also closely monitor the number of beds open in intensive-care units. In late July, the state changed its tracking method to exclude beds that are only for infants from the count. Available ICU beds AprilJuneAug.Oct.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000State changestracking methodState changestracking method3,079Oct. 19 California Department of Public Health Testing After a fitful start, California has increased coronavirus testing in the state. Over the last week, an average of 122,193 tests have been conducted each day. New tests by day MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.050,000100,000150,000200,0007-dayaverage7-dayaverage California Department of Public Health In the last seven days, about 2.5% of the 855,353 tests conducted have returned a positive result. Positive test rate, seven-day average MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.0%2%4%6%8%10%2.5%Oct. 20 California Department of Public Health Wide disparities in age and race While younger adults make up the majority of positive tests, deaths due to the virus have skewed heavily toward the elderly. Percentage of cases vs. population 0%10%20%30%40%50%80+75-7970-7465-6960-6450-5935-4918-345-170-4 Percentage of deaths vs. population 0%10%20%30%40%50%80+75-7970-7465-6960-6450-5935-4918-345-170-4 There are 860 cases with an unreported age. California Department of Public Health The state has logged the race of the patient in nearly two-thirds of cases. Latinos and Black people have contracted the virus at a higher rate than white and Asian people. After adjusting for population, Latinos are now 3.3 times more likely to test positive than white people. Cumulative cases by race per 100,000 people JuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.05001,0001,5002,0002,500AsianAsianBlackBlackLatino2,438 casesper 100,000Latino2,438 casesper 100,000OtherOtherWhiteWhite The other category includes Native Americans and people of two or more races.California Department of Public Health One outcome is that among most age groups, and especially younger people, Black people and Latinos are dying more often than other races relative to their share of the population. Percentage of deaths vs. population Age: All 18+ 0-17 18-34 35-49 50-64 65-79 80+ CasesDeaths 0%20%40%60%80%BlackAsianWhiteLatino Race Deaths Deaths Pct. Population Pct. Latino 8,142 48.6% 36.3% White 5,035 30.1% 38.8% Asian 2,043 12.2% 16.5% Black 1,260 7.5% 6.1% Note: There are 156 deaths with an unknown race in this age bracket, 1% of the total. Lives lost to COVID-19 Learn more about those we've lost by reading Times obituaries of Californians who have died from coronavirus. Nursing homes Nursing homes are a tragic focal point of the outbreak. Residents and staff have accounted for 7% the state's coronavirus cases, but 35% of its deaths. CasesDeaths Deaths at nursing homes vs. elsewhere JuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,00016,00018,000 California Department of Public Health Track outbreaks in California nursing homes Follow the data and look up the latest tallies at the hundreds of skilled-nursing and assisted-living facilities across the state. California in context To date, the United States has recorded 8,268,606 coronavirus cases and 220,971 deaths. In the last week, the country has averaged 59,455 new cases and 737 deaths per day. While California — America’s most populous state — leads the nation in cases, it ranks much lower after adjusting for population. Home to 12% of the country's population, thus far it has accounted for roughly 11% of cases. New cases in California vs. the rest of the country MarchMayJulySept.020,00040,00060,00080,000 Johns Hopkins University CSSE, Times survey State Cases Per 100k New cases FewerMore California 884,519 2,259.4 Mar 1Oct 20 Texas 862,277 3,092.2 Florida 760,389 3,691.5 New York 486,480 2,479.7 Illinois 354,457 2,764.6 Georgia 342,438 3,325.5 North Carolina 248,750 2,449.4 Tennessee 233,569 3,511.7 Arizona 232,937 3,353.2 New Jersey 222,193 2,501.7 Pennsylvania 189,970 1,485.2 Ohio 185,639 1,594.6 Wisconsin 178,482 3,088.8 Louisiana 176,681 3,788.5 Alabama 174,528 3,587.7 Virginia 167,270 1,988 Michigan 165,994 1,667 South Carolina 165,493 3,339.3 Missouri 161,849 2,657.6 Indiana 150,664 2,269.9 Massachusetts 145,464 2,129.7 Maryland 136,744 2,277.8 Minnesota 125,531 2,271.1 Mississippi 111,322 3,724.7 Oklahoma 109,548 2,795.9 Iowa 109,202 3,486.1 Arkansas 100,441 3,358.5 Washington 99,150 1,359.3 Utah 96,643 3,173.5 Nevada 91,499 3,130.5 Kentucky 89,544 2,016.7 Colorado 87,559 1,583 Kansas 72,179 2,481.4 Connecticut 64,455 1,799.7 Nebraska 59,409 3,119 Puerto Rico 58,643 1,731.4 Idaho 54,663 3,238.7 Oregon 40,136 983.3 New Mexico 37,896 1,811.1 South Dakota 34,457 3,986.7 North Dakota 33,666 4,475.7 Rhode Island 28,649 2,711.4 Montana 24,093 2,312.8 Delaware 23,325 2,456.6 West Virginia 20,520 1,121.9 District of Columbia 16,445 2,402.5 Hawaii 14,156 995.5 Alaska 11,391 1,542.4 New Hampshire 9,828 731.5 Wyoming 9,526 1,637.2 Maine 5,987 449.2 Vermont 1,956 313 Show less The same is true for deaths. So far, California has accounted for 8% of deaths nationwide. It still trails far behind New York, where deaths surged in the early days of the pandemic. New deaths in California vs. the rest of the country MarchMayJulySept.05001,0001,5002,0002,500 Johns Hopkins University CSSE, Times survey State Deaths Per 100k New deaths FewerMore New York 33,366 170.1 Mar 1Oct 20 Texas 17,558 63 California 17,066 43.6 New Jersey 16,227 182.7 Florida 16,105 78.2 Massachusetts 9,758 142.9 Illinois 9,537 74.4 Pennsylvania 8,516 66.6 Georgia 7,674 74.5 Michigan 7,383 74.1 Arizona 5,837 84 Louisiana 5,772 123.8 Ohio 5,083 43.7 Connecticut 4,559 127.3 Maryland 4,050 67.5 Indiana 4,008 60.4 North Carolina 3,992 39.3 South Carolina 3,696 74.6 Virginia 3,482 41.4 Mississippi 3,202 107.1 Tennessee 2,952 44.4 Alabama 2,805 57.7 Missouri 2,625 43.1 Minnesota 2,299 41.6 Washington 2,282 31.3 Colorado 2,182 39.4 Arkansas 1,728 57.8 Nevada 1,727 59.1 Wisconsin 1,633 28.3 Iowa 1,576 50.3 Kentucky 1,342 30.2 Oklahoma 1,191 30.4 Rhode Island 1,164 110.2 New Mexico 942 45 Kansas 895 30.8 Puerto Rico 769 22.7 Delaware 668 70.4 District of Columbia 642 93.8 Oregon 633 15.5 Nebraska 565 29.7 Utah 551 18.1 Idaho 535 31.7 New Hampshire 468 34.8 North Dakota 412 54.8 West Virginia 411 22.5 South Dakota 330 38.2 Montana 252 24.2 Hawaii 189 13.3 Maine 146 11 Alaska 67 9.1 Wyoming 61 10.5 Vermont 58 9.3 Show less Tracking the coronavirus California counties Alameda Alpine Amador Butte Calaveras Colusa Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Glenn Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Lassen Los Angeles Madera Marin Mariposa Mendocino Merced Modoc Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Benito San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Tehama Trinity Tulare Tuolumne Ventura Yolo Yuba Other trackers Housing homeless people Nursing homes State prisons Following the curve Unemployment and economic fallout Which counties are open Which beaches are closed Lives lost Frequently asked questions More coverage Coronavirus symptoms How coronavirus spreads Get our newsletter https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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