niman Posted October 25, 2020 Report Share Posted October 25, 2020 By Los Angeles Times Staff Updated Oct. 24, 9:02 p.m. Pacific 903,820 confirmed cases +4,276 on Saturday 17,343 deaths +28 on Saturday The COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly across California. Experts say the true number of people infected is unknown and likely much higher than official tallies. To better understand the spread of the virus, The Times is conducting an independent, continual survey of dozens of local health agencies across the state. What we know New cases have plateaued. New cases are holding near levels seen in the spring. Over the last seven days, the state averaged 4,318 cases per day, with 3.3% of tests coming back positive. Death tallies are dropping. The state has averaged 58.9 daily deaths over the last week. The state is slowly easing the lockdown. The governor’s system now rates 12 counties as too risky to reopen, including Los Angeles County. Other areas have begun to ease restrictions. Disparities in age and race persist. Roughly 74% of the dead were 65 or older. After adjusting for population, Latinos are now 3.3 times more likely than whites to test positive. California counties +Other trackers +More coverage + Jump to a section Totals Hotspots Maps Hospitals Tests Demographics Nursing homes State rankings The latest totals Coronavirus can infect people so rapidly that it has continued to spread despite shutdown orders aimed at slowing the growth of new cases and flattening the line below. The number of cases in California is now on pace to double every 128.9 days, a number used to measure how quickly the virus is spreading. CasesDeaths Cumulative cases Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.0200,000400,000600,000800,0001,000,000Stay athome orderStay athome orderGovernoreases limitsGovernoreases limits903,820Oct. 24 Times survey of county and local health departments Local governments announce new cases and deaths each day, though bottlenecks in bureaucracy can introduce delays. For instance, some agencies do not report new totals on holidays and weekends, leading to lower numbers on those days. Over the past week, the state has averaged 4,318 new cases and 58.9 new deaths per day. New cases by day Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0007-dayaverage7-dayaverageData collectionerrors reportedData collectionerrors reported Deaths by day Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.0501001502007-dayaverage7-dayaverage The lines above are seven-day averages. They offer a more stable view of the trend than daily totals. The gray range marks when errors in a state computer system delayed the tabulation of new cases. Where new cases are concentrated State officials study the latest data and then rate counties to determine when and how businesses reopen. After adjusting for population, the virus is now categorized as widespread in 12 counties, keeping those areas largely locked down. Together they are home to 42% of California residents. The government doesn't release enough data to replicate its analysis, but the rate of new cases over the last seven days provides some insight into where the virus is spreading. Metric CasesDeaths Method Per 100kTotals Counties ranked by new cases per 100,000 residents 1. Tehama 187.8 cases per 100k in last 7 days187.8 cases per 100k in last 7 days7-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 2. Imperial 160.9160.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 3. San Bernardino 128.8128.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 4. Los Angeles 107.2107.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 5. Riverside 103.8103.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 6. Shasta 96.696.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 7. Madera 93.593.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 8. Sonoma 86.886.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 9. Inyo 82.982.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 10. Tulare 81.481.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 11. Fresno 81.281.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 12. Monterey 80.880.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 13. Plumas 74.974.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 14. Sacramento 71717-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 15. San Diego 70.670.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 16. Stanislaus 64.564.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 17. Glenn 64.564.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 18. Solano 63.263.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 19. Napa 61.261.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 20. San Joaquin 60.560.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 21. San Benito 58.958.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 22. Merced 56.156.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 23. Yolo 55.855.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 24. San Luis Obispo 55.455.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 25. Placer 54.754.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 26. Yuba 53537-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 27. Orange 52.352.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 28. Amador 50.250.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 29. Santa Clara 50507-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 30. Contra Costa 50507-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 31. Ventura 49.949.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 32. Kern 49.849.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 33. Lake 48.348.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 34. Kings 48487-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 35. Alameda 46467-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 36. Santa Barbara 45.145.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 37. Lassen 44.944.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 38. Mendocino 43.543.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 39. San Mateo 43.343.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 40. Sutter 42.842.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 41. Trinity 38.938.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 42. Butte 37.937.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 43. Mono 35.335.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 44. Tuolumne 35.235.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 45. Santa Cruz 33.633.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 46. Marin 28287-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 47. Nevada 27.227.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 48. San Francisco 26.826.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 49. Colusa 23.323.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 50. Modoc 22.422.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 51. El Dorado 21.421.47-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 52. Siskiyou 20.720.77-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 53. Calaveras 19.919.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 54. Del Norte 18.218.27-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 55. Humboldt 13.313.37-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 56. Alpine 007-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 57. Mariposa 007-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 58. Sierra 007-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 25 Show less The Times' calculation of per capita rates can vary from what's published elsewhere. To learn more about how and why this count sometimes differs from official figures, consult our FAQ. What's open where? See how the governor has rated all 58 counties, and what that means for reopening, in our county reopening tracker. Mapping the toll The coronavirus has been found in all 58 counties, from urban Southern California to the state's rural north. Cumulative totals Metric CasesDeaths Method Per 100kTotals Confirmed cases1901k1.6k2.4k3.1k5.5k7k Hover for more information. Los AngelesLos AngelesSan DiegoSan DiegoSacramentoSacramentoSan FranciscoSan FranciscoReddingReddingFresnoFresno Cumulative totals County Cases Per 100k Saturday Deaths Per 100k Saturday Imperial » 12,700 7,047.1 – 336 186.4 – Kings » 8,207 5,468.6 +11 83 55.3 – Kern » 33,813 3,829.1 +38 416 47.1 – Tulare » 17,495 3,799.3 – 286 62.1 – Merced » 9,465 3,517.6 – 155 57.6 – Stanislaus » 17,572 3,258.3 +63 396 73.4 – Madera » 4,981 3,213.3 – 74 47.7 – Fresno » 30,590 3,127.4 +119 436 44.6 – Los Angeles » 299,007 2,961 +2,077 6,989 69.2 +15 San Joaquin » 21,630 2,954.1 – 489 66.8 – San Bernardino » 62,353 2,920 +627 1,072 50.2 +2 Riverside » 65,757 2,759.1 – 1,279 53.7 – Marin » 7,074 2,717.7 +17 128 49.2 – Monterey » 11,372 2,625 +51 91 21 +2 Colusa » 550 2,562.4 – 6 28 – Lassen » 766 2,456.3 – 1 3.2 – San Benito » 1,436 2,416.9 +4 15 25.2 – Glenn » 657 2,355.1 – 3 10.8 – Santa Barbara » 9,760 2,199.5 – 120 27 – Sutter » 1,837 1,916.1 – 12 12.5 – Sonoma » 9,245 1,844.1 +82 134 26.7 – Orange » 58,326 1,843.3 +316 1,444 45.6 +4 Yuba » 1,293 1,712.7 – 10 13.2 – Sacramento » 25,264 1,673.1 – 484 32.1 – Solano » 7,286 1,661.5 – 74 16.9 – Ventura » 14,020 1,653.1 – 164 19.3 – San Diego » 54,314 1,644.5 +386 868 26.3 +1 Contra Costa » 18,621 1,643.2 +98 241 21.3 – Yolo » 3,166 1,472.7 +22 58 27 – San Luis Obispo » 4,141 1,471.3 – 32 11.4 – San Mateo » 11,075 1,445.9 +73 159 20.8 – Alameda » 23,215 1,412.4 +82 460 28 +4 San Francisco » 12,069 1,387.2 +37 140 16.1 – Napa » 1,937 1,378.4 – 14 10 – Tehama » 861 1,358.6 +13 8 12.6 – Butte » 3,047 1,341.8 – 52 22.9 – Mendocino » 1,127 1,289.1 +3 21 24 – Mono » 180 1,269.9 +2 2 14.1 – Inyo » 227 1,255.2 – 15 82.9 – Santa Clara » 24,014 1,249.3 +133 388 20.2 – Placer » 4,088 1,075.6 – 57 15 – Lake » 689 1,074.1 – 15 23.4 – Shasta » 1,839 1,026.9 +5 30 16.8 – Santa Cruz » 2,788 1,018.4 +17 25 9.1 – Amador » 291 769.3 – 15 39.7 – Calaveras » 342 756.1 – 18 39.8 – El Dorado » 1,315 704.5 – 4 2.1 – Del Norte » 178 649.1 – 1 3.6 – Nevada » 608 613.6 – 8 8.1 – Tuolumne » 268 496.9 – 4 7.4 – Mariposa » 78 444.7 – 2 11.4 – Siskiyou » 193 443.3 – 0 0 – Humboldt » 562 413.9 – 9 6.6 – Plumas » 68 363.7 – 0 0 – Modoc » 29 324.5 – 0 0 – Alpine » 3 261.8 – 0 0 – Sierra » 6 204.8 – 0 0 – Trinity » 25 194.4 – 0 0 – Show less Residents of cities, neighborhoods and regions all across the state have contracted the coronavirus. Here are the latest tallies for 1,108 places as released by county health departments. Confirmed cases 100 1,000 10,000 Counties that do not report cases by locality © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap Improve this map The following counties currently do not report cases by locality: Alpine, Colusa, Glenn, Lassen, Mariposa, Modoc, San Benito, Sierra, Tehama and Tuolumne Filter by countyAlameda Amador Butte Calaveras Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Los Angeles Madera Marin Mendocino Merced Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Trinity Tulare Ventura Yolo Yuba Search by name Area Confirmed cases East Los Angeles 6,991 Pomona 6,115 Palmdale 4,986 South Gate 4,893 El Monte 4,832 Boyle Heights 4,664 Downey 4,566 North Hollywood 4,554 Glendale 4,452 Compton 4,422 Show all Hospitals and patients Lockdown measures aim to slow the virus in hope of preventing hospitals from being overrun. To keep tabs on capacity, officials watch out for rapid increases in the number of patients. There are now 2,336 hospital patients statewide with a confirmed case, a change of 3% from two weeks ago. ConfirmedSuspectedBoth Intensive care and other hospitalized patients AprilJuneAug.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,000 California Department of Public Health Confirmed patients County ICU Other Total Los Angeles » 229 556 785 San Bernardino » 40 172 212 San Diego » 69 116 185 Orange » 55 104 159 Riverside » 37 114 151 Fresno » 23 77 100 Sacramento » 15 77 92 Santa Clara » 16 72 88 Kern » 19 37 56 Alameda » 11 44 55 Stanislaus » 14 39 53 Imperial » 16 26 42 Ventura » 14 17 31 San Joaquin » 6 24 30 Tulare » 5 24 29 Contra Costa » 9 15 24 San Francisco » 7 17 24 San Mateo » 5 17 22 Monterey » 8 13 21 Sonoma » 5 15 20 Solano » 2 18 20 Kings » 3 16 19 Placer » 4 11 15 Santa Barbara » 2 9 11 Santa Cruz » 4 7 11 Yolo » 3 7 10 Shasta » 1 9 10 Yuba » 0 9 9 San Luis Obispo » 1 7 8 Merced » 2 5 7 Butte » 1 6 7 Madera » 2 4 6 Tehama » 2 4 6 Marin » 2 2 4 Humboldt » 1 3 4 Lake » 2 0 2 Nevada » 0 2 2 Tuolumne » 1 1 2 Napa » 0 1 1 Amador » 0 1 1 Del Norte » 0 1 1 Siskiyou » 0 1 1 Colusa » 0 0 0 Lassen » 0 0 0 San Benito » 0 0 0 Glenn » 0 0 0 Sutter » 0 0 0 Mendocino » 0 0 0 Mono » 0 0 0 Inyo » 0 0 0 Calaveras » 0 0 0 El Dorado » 0 0 0 Mariposa » 0 0 0 Plumas » 0 0 0 Modoc » 0 0 0 Trinity » 0 0 0 Show less Officials also closely monitor the number of beds open in intensive-care units. In late July, the state changed its tracking method to exclude beds that are only for infants from the count. Available ICU beds AprilJuneAug.Oct.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000State changestracking methodState changestracking method2,306Oct. 23 California Department of Public Health Testing After a fitful start, California has increased coronavirus testing in the state. Over the last week, an average of 121,781 tests have been conducted each day. New tests by day MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.050,000100,000150,000200,0007-dayaverage7-dayaverage California Department of Public Health In the last seven days, about 3.3% of the 852,468 tests conducted have returned a positive result. Positive test rate, seven-day average MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.0%2%4%6%8%10%3.3%Oct. 24 California Department of Public Health Wide disparities in age and race While younger adults make up the majority of positive tests, deaths due to the virus have skewed heavily toward the elderly. Percentage of cases vs. population 0%10%20%30%40%50%80+75-7970-7465-6960-6450-5935-4918-345-170-4 Percentage of deaths vs. population 0%10%20%30%40%50%80+75-7970-7465-6960-6450-5935-4918-345-170-4 There are 839 cases with an unreported age. California Department of Public Health The state has logged the race of the patient in nearly two-thirds of cases. Latinos and Black people have contracted the virus at a higher rate than white and Asian people. After adjusting for population, Latinos are now 3.3 times more likely to test positive than white people. Cumulative cases by race per 100,000 people JuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.05001,0001,5002,0002,500AsianAsianBlackBlackLatino2,499 casesper 100,000Latino2,499 casesper 100,000OtherOtherWhiteWhite The other category includes Native Americans and people of two or more races.California Department of Public Health One outcome is that among most age groups, and especially younger people, Black people and Latinos are dying more often than other races relative to their share of the population. Percentage of deaths vs. population Age: All 18+ 0-17 18-34 35-49 50-64 65-79 80+ CasesDeaths 0%20%40%60%80%BlackAsianWhiteLatino Race Deaths Deaths Pct. Population Pct. Latino 8,295 48.6% 36.3% White 5,137 30.1% 38.8% Asian 2,092 12.3% 16.5% Black 1,277 7.5% 6.1% Note: There are 157 deaths with an unknown race in this age bracket, 1% of the total. Lives lost to COVID-19 Learn more about those we've lost by reading Times obituaries of Californians who have died from coronavirus. Nursing homes Nursing homes are a tragic focal point of the outbreak. Residents and staff have accounted for 7% the state's coronavirus cases, but 34% of its deaths. CasesDeaths Deaths at nursing homes vs. elsewhere JuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,00016,00018,000 California Department of Public Health Track outbreaks in California nursing homes Follow the data and look up the latest tallies at the hundreds of skilled-nursing and assisted-living facilities across the state. California in context To date, the United States has recorded 8,486,477 coronavirus cases and 223,890 deaths. In the last week, the country has averaged 63,206 new cases and 774 deaths per day. While California — America’s most populous state — leads the nation in cases, it ranks much lower after adjusting for population. Home to 12% of the country's population, thus far it has accounted for roughly 11% of cases. New cases in California vs. the rest of the country MarchMayJulySept.020,00040,00060,00080,000 Johns Hopkins University CSSE, Times survey State Cases Per 100k New cases FewerMore California 899,544 2,297.8 Mar 1Oct 23 Texas 878,567 3,150.7 Florida 771,780 3,746.8 New York 491,771 2,506.7 Illinois 368,740 2,876 Georgia 347,759 3,377.1 North Carolina 255,708 2,517.9 Tennessee 241,513 3,631.2 Arizona 235,882 3,395.6 New Jersey 225,430 2,538.1 Pennsylvania 195,655 1,529.6 Ohio 192,948 1,657.4 Wisconsin 190,478 3,296.4 Alabama 180,916 3,719 Louisiana 178,870 3,835.4 Michigan 172,122 1,728.6 Virginia 170,730 2,029.2 South Carolina 168,549 3,401 Missouri 167,193 2,745.3 Indiana 157,713 2,376.1 Massachusetts 148,285 2,171 Maryland 138,691 2,310.2 Minnesota 129,863 2,349.5 Mississippi 113,876 3,810.1 Oklahoma 113,856 2,905.9 Iowa 113,376 3,619.3 Arkansas 104,135 3,482 Utah 101,509 3,333.2 Washington 101,345 1,389.4 Kentucky 93,748 2,111.3 Nevada 93,665 3,204.6 Colorado 91,549 1,655.2 Kansas 75,181 2,584.6 Connecticut 66,052 1,844.3 Nebraska 62,510 3,281.8 Puerto Rico 60,984 1,800.6 Idaho 57,673 3,417 Oregon 41,348 1,012.9 New Mexico 40,168 1,919.7 South Dakota 37,202 4,304.3 North Dakota 35,939 4,777.8 Rhode Island 30,118 2,850.4 Montana 26,503 2,544.1 Delaware 23,687 2,494.7 West Virginia 21,393 1,169.6 District of Columbia 16,609 2,426.4 Hawaii 14,464 1,017.1 Alaska 12,113 1,640.2 Wyoming 10,545 1,812.4 New Hampshire 10,112 752.6 Maine 6,094 457.2 Vermont 2,016 322.6 Show less The same is true for deaths. So far, California has accounted for 8% of deaths nationwide. It still trails far behind New York, where deaths surged in the early days of the pandemic. New deaths in California vs. the rest of the country MarchMayJulySept.05001,0001,5002,0002,500 Johns Hopkins University CSSE, Times survey State Deaths Per 100k New deaths FewerMore New York 33,418 170.3 Mar 1Oct 23 Texas 17,773 63.7 California 17,315 44.2 Florida 16,340 79.3 New Jersey 16,273 183.2 Massachusetts 9,830 143.9 Illinois 9,688 75.6 Pennsylvania 8,608 67.3 Georgia 7,766 75.4 Michigan 7,484 75.2 Arizona 5,865 84.4 Louisiana 5,820 124.8 Ohio 5,184 44.5 Connecticut 4,577 127.8 North Carolina 4,114 40.5 Indiana 4,092 61.7 Maryland 4,078 67.9 South Carolina 3,777 76.2 Virginia 3,535 42 Mississippi 3,238 108.3 Tennessee 3,076 46.2 Alabama 2,859 58.8 Missouri 2,697 44.3 Minnesota 2,367 42.8 Washington 2,296 31.5 Colorado 2,211 40 Arkansas 1,782 59.6 Wisconsin 1,745 30.2 Nevada 1,734 59.3 Iowa 1,629 52 Kentucky 1,396 31.4 Oklahoma 1,234 31.5 Rhode Island 1,177 111.4 New Mexico 960 45.9 Kansas 950 32.7 Puerto Rico 791 23.4 Delaware 678 71.4 Oregon 649 15.9 District of Columbia 642 93.8 Nebraska 591 31 Utah 567 18.6 Idaho 562 33.3 New Hampshire 471 35.1 North Dakota 440 58.5 West Virginia 424 23.2 South Dakota 356 41.2 Montana 282 27.1 Hawaii 209 14.7 Maine 146 11 Alaska 68 9.2 Wyoming 68 11.7 Vermont 58 9.3 Show less Tracking the coronavirus California counties Alameda Alpine Amador Butte Calaveras Colusa Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Glenn Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Lassen Los Angeles Madera Marin Mariposa Mendocino Merced Modoc Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Benito San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Tehama Trinity Tulare Tuolumne Ventura Yolo Yuba Other trackers Housing homeless people Nursing homes State prisons Following the curve Unemployment and economic fallout Which counties are open Which beaches are closed Lives lost Frequently asked questions More coverage Coronavirus symptoms How coronavirus spreads Get our newsletter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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