niman Posted October 26, 2020 Report Share Posted October 26, 2020 By Los Angeles Times Staff Updated Oct. 25, 9:43 p.m. Pacific 906,106 confirmed cases +2,286 on Sunday 17,357 deaths +14 on Sunday The COVID-19 pandemic has spread rapidly across California. Experts say the true number of people infected is unknown and likely much higher than official tallies. To better understand the spread of the virus, The Times is conducting an independent, continual survey of dozens of local health agencies across the state. What we know New cases have plateaued. New cases are holding near levels seen in the spring. Over the last seven days, the state averaged 4,402 cases per day, with 3.3% of tests coming back positive. Death tallies are dropping. The state has averaged 55.7 daily deaths over the last week. The state is slowly easing the lockdown. The governor’s system now rates 12 counties as too risky to reopen, including Los Angeles County. Other areas have begun to ease restrictions. Disparities in age and race persist. Roughly 74% of the dead were 65 or older. After adjusting for population, Latinos are now 3.3 times more likely than whites to test positive. California counties +Other trackers +More coverage + Jump to a section Totals Hotspots Maps Hospitals Tests Demographics Nursing homes State rankings The latest totals Coronavirus can infect people so rapidly that it has continued to spread despite shutdown orders aimed at slowing the growth of new cases and flattening the line below. The number of cases in California is now on pace to double every 134.7 days, a number used to measure how quickly the virus is spreading. CasesDeaths Cumulative cases Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.0200,000400,000600,000800,0001,000,000Stay athome orderStay athome orderGovernoreases limitsGovernoreases limits906,106Oct. 25 Times survey of county and local health departments Local governments announce new cases and deaths each day, though bottlenecks in bureaucracy can introduce delays. For instance, some agencies do not report new totals on holidays and weekends, leading to lower numbers on those days. Over the past week, the state has averaged 4,402 new cases and 55.7 new deaths per day. New cases by day Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0007-dayaverage7-dayaverageData collectionerrors reportedData collectionerrors reported Deaths by day Feb.AprilJuneAug.Oct.0501001502007-dayaverage7-dayaverage The lines above are seven-day averages. They offer a more stable view of the trend than daily totals. The gray range marks when errors in a state computer system delayed the tabulation of new cases. Where new cases are concentrated State officials study the latest data and then rate counties to determine when and how businesses reopen. After adjusting for population, the virus is now categorized as widespread in 12 counties, keeping those areas largely locked down. Together they are home to 42% of California residents. The government doesn't release enough data to replicate its analysis, but the rate of new cases over the last seven days provides some insight into where the virus is spreading. Metric CasesDeaths Method Per 100kTotals Counties ranked by new cases per 100,000 residents 1. Tehama 187.8 cases per 100k in last 7 days187.8 cases per 100k in last 7 days7-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 2. Imperial 160.9160.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 3. San Bernardino 136.9136.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 4. Los Angeles 1121127-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 5. Riverside 103.8103.87-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 6. Sonoma 100.1100.17-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 7. Shasta 96.696.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 8. Fresno 95.695.67-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 9. Madera 93.593.57-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 10. Inyo 82.982.97-day average │7-day average │March 1Oct. 26 Show all The Times' calculation of per capita rates can vary from what's published elsewhere. To learn more about how and why this count sometimes differs from official figures, consult our FAQ. What's open where? See how the governor has rated all 58 counties, and what that means for reopening, in our county reopening tracker. Mapping the toll The coronavirus has been found in all 58 counties, from urban Southern California to the state's rural north. Cumulative totals Metric CasesDeaths Method Per 100kTotals Confirmed cases1901k1.6k2.4k3.1k5.5k7k Hover for more information. Los AngelesLos AngelesSan DiegoSan DiegoSacramentoSacramentoSan FranciscoSan FranciscoReddingReddingFresnoFresno Cumulative totals County Cases Per 100k Sunday Deaths Per 100k Sunday Imperial » 12,700 7,047.1 – 336 186.4 – Kings » 8,207 5,468.6 – 83 55.3 – Kern » 33,881 3,836.8 +68 416 47.1 – Tulare » 17,495 3,799.3 – 286 62.1 – Merced » 9,465 3,517.6 – 155 57.6 – Stanislaus » 17,629 3,268.9 +57 396 73.4 – Madera » 4,981 3,213.3 – 74 47.7 – Fresno » 30,731 3,141.8 +141 436 44.6 – Los Angeles » 299,760 2,968.5 +753 6,993 69.3 +4 San Joaquin » 21,630 2,954.1 – 489 66.8 – Show all Residents of cities, neighborhoods and regions all across the state have contracted the coronavirus. Here are the latest tallies for 1,109 places as released by county health departments. Confirmed cases 100 1,000 10,000 Counties that do not report cases by locality © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap Improve this map The following counties currently do not report cases by locality: Alpine, Colusa, Glenn, Lassen, Mariposa, Modoc, San Benito, Sierra, Tehama and Tuolumne Filter by countyAlameda Amador Butte Calaveras Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Los Angeles Madera Marin Mendocino Merced Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Trinity Tulare Ventura Yolo Yuba Search by name Area Confirmed cases East Los Angeles 7,000 Pomona 6,137 Palmdale 5,023 South Gate 4,907 El Monte 4,842 Boyle Heights 4,671 Downey 4,574 North Hollywood 4,571 Glendale 4,462 Compton 4,430 Show all Hospitals and patients Lockdown measures aim to slow the virus in hope of preventing hospitals from being overrun. To keep tabs on capacity, officials watch out for rapid increases in the number of patients. There are now 2,254 hospital patients statewide with a confirmed case, a change of 2% from two weeks ago. ConfirmedSuspectedBoth Intensive care and other hospitalized patients AprilJuneAug.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,000 California Department of Public Health Confirmed patients County ICU Other Total Los Angeles » 221 546 767 San Bernardino » 38 165 203 San Diego » 67 99 166 Riverside » 34 117 151 Orange » 55 95 150 Fresno » 22 74 96 Sacramento » 15 76 91 Santa Clara » 17 67 84 Alameda » 14 40 54 Kern » 20 33 53 Show all Officials also closely monitor the number of beds open in intensive-care units. In late July, the state changed its tracking method to exclude beds that are only for infants from the count. Available ICU beds AprilJuneAug.Oct.01,0002,0003,0004,0005,000State changestracking methodState changestracking method2,615Oct. 24 California Department of Public Health Testing After a fitful start, California has increased coronavirus testing in the state. Over the last week, an average of 121,781 tests have been conducted each day. New tests by day MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.050,000100,000150,000200,0007-dayaverage7-dayaverage California Department of Public Health In the last seven days, about 3.3% of the 852,468 tests conducted have returned a positive result. Positive test rate, seven-day average MayJuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.0%2%4%6%8%10%3.3%Oct. 24 California Department of Public Health Wide disparities in age and race While younger adults make up the majority of positive tests, deaths due to the virus have skewed heavily toward the elderly. Percentage of cases vs. population 0%10%20%30%40%50%80+75-7970-7465-6960-6450-5935-4918-345-170-4 Percentage of deaths vs. population 0%10%20%30%40%50%80+75-7970-7465-6960-6450-5935-4918-345-170-4 There are 839 cases with an unreported age. California Department of Public Health The state has logged the race of the patient in nearly two-thirds of cases. Latinos and Black people have contracted the virus at a higher rate than white and Asian people. After adjusting for population, Latinos are now 3.3 times more likely to test positive than white people. Cumulative cases by race per 100,000 people JuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.05001,0001,5002,0002,500AsianAsianBlackBlackLatino2,499 casesper 100,000Latino2,499 casesper 100,000OtherOtherWhiteWhite The other category includes Native Americans and people of two or more races.California Department of Public Health One outcome is that among most age groups, and especially younger people, Black people and Latinos are dying more often than other races relative to their share of the population. Percentage of deaths vs. population Age: All 18+ 0-17 18-34 35-49 50-64 65-79 80+ CasesDeaths 0%20%40%60%80%BlackAsianWhiteLatino Race Deaths Deaths Pct. Population Pct. Latino 8,295 48.6% 36.3% White 5,137 30.1% 38.8% Asian 2,092 12.3% 16.5% Black 1,277 7.5% 6.1% Note: There are 157 deaths with an unknown race in this age bracket, 1% of the total. Lives lost to COVID-19 Learn more about those we've lost by reading Times obituaries of Californians who have died from coronavirus. Nursing homes Nursing homes are a tragic focal point of the outbreak. Residents and staff have accounted for 7% the state's coronavirus cases, but 34% of its deaths. CasesDeaths Deaths at nursing homes vs. elsewhere JuneJulyAug.Sept.Oct.02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,00016,00018,000 California Department of Public Health Track outbreaks in California nursing homes Follow the data and look up the latest tallies at the hundreds of skilled-nursing and assisted-living facilities across the state. California in context To date, the United States has recorded 8,569,586 coronavirus cases and 224,794 deaths. In the last week, the country has averaged 66,904 new cases and 803 deaths per day. While California — America’s most populous state — leads the nation in cases, it ranks much lower after adjusting for population. Home to 12% of the country's population, thus far it has accounted for roughly 11% of cases. New cases in California vs. the rest of the country MarchMayJulySept.020,00040,00060,00080,000 Johns Hopkins University CSSE, Times survey State Cases Per 100k New cases FewerMore California 903,820 2,308.7 Mar 1Oct 24 Texas 888,362 3,185.8 Florida 776,251 3,768.5 New York 493,832 2,517.2 Illinois 374,901 2,924 Georgia 349,605 3,395.1 North Carolina 258,292 2,543.3 Tennessee 244,087 3,669.9 Arizona 236,772 3,408.4 New Jersey 227,339 2,559.6 Show all The same is true for deaths. So far, California has accounted for 8% of deaths nationwide. It still trails far behind New York, where deaths surged in the early days of the pandemic. New deaths in California vs. the rest of the country MarchMayJulySept.05001,0001,5002,0002,500 Johns Hopkins University CSSE, Times survey State Deaths Per 100k New deaths FewerMore New York 33,418 170.3 Mar 1Oct 24 Texas 17,915 64.2 California 17,343 44.3 Florida 16,417 79.7 New Jersey 16,281 183.3 Massachusetts 9,839 144.1 Illinois 9,751 76.1 Pennsylvania 8,636 67.5 Georgia 7,808 75.8 Michigan 7,522 75.5 Show all Tracking the coronavirus California counties Alameda Alpine Amador Butte Calaveras Colusa Contra Costa Del Norte El Dorado Fresno Glenn Humboldt Imperial Inyo Kern Kings Lake Lassen Los Angeles Madera Marin Mariposa Mendocino Merced Modoc Mono Monterey Napa Nevada Orange Placer Plumas Riverside Sacramento San Benito San Bernardino San Diego San Francisco San Joaquin San Luis Obispo San Mateo Santa Barbara Santa Clara Santa Cruz Shasta Sierra Siskiyou Solano Sonoma Stanislaus Sutter Tehama Trinity Tulare Tuolumne Ventura Yolo Yuba Other trackers Housing homeless people Nursing homes State prisons Following the curve Unemployment and economic fallout Which counties are open Which beaches are closed Lives lost Frequently asked questions More coverage Coronavirus symptoms How coronavirus spreads Get our newsletter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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