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Pandemic Potentials Blog

Bavarian nCoV Cluster Grows to Fourteen In Three Countries

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Cluster began with business associate from Shanghai at a meeting involving an auto parts supplier in Germany.  The latest nCoV positive is the wife of one of the employees.  This cluster also spread to the Canary Islands via an employee on vacation.  Many of the nCoV positive cases are asymptomatic.

  • Author

The Bavarian Ministry of Health informed on Friday about the current development in cases with the novel corona virus in Bavaria. A ministry spokesman said in Munich that, according to the State Office for Health and Food Safety (LGL), another coronavirus case in Bavaria had been confirmed. There are currently twelve confirmed coronavirus cases in Bavaria (as of 6:00 p.m.).

The twelfth case is the wife of a man whose positive findings were announced last week and is currently being treated at the Munich Clinic Schwabing. The man is an employee of the company from the district of Starnberg, where most of the previously known cases are also employed. The woman is medically monitored and is isolated in the Munich Clinic Schwabing.

https://www.stmgp.bayern.de/presse/aktuelle-informationen-zur-coronavirus-lage-in-bayern-bayerisches-gesundheitsministerium-14/

Is there a spreadsheet or chronology posted that shows:

1.  The date the Bavarian company rep from China met with the employees of the German auto parts maker.

2.  The dates and numbers of the first Bavarian contagions were detected.

3.  The dates and numbers of the infections that resulted from direct contact with the first Bavarian contagions.

So far this seems to be the most likely scenario for determining the contagion and virulence at this point.The infector, infectees, and dates can be precisely defined if the reporting is accurate. 

  • Author
35 minutes ago, CoffeeLover said:

Is there a spreadsheet or chronology posted that shows:

1.  The date the Bavarian company rep from China met with the employees of the German auto parts maker.

2.  The dates and numbers of the first Bavarian contagions were detected.

3.  The dates and numbers of the infections that resulted from direct contact with the first Bavarian contagions.

So far this seems to be the most likely scenario for determining the contagion and virulence at this point.The infector, infectees, and dates can be precisely defined if the reporting is accurate. 

This cluster was reported in NEJM.Most recent cases have been asymptomatic and discovered by testing because they were contacts

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