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Pandemic Potentials Blog

niman

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Everything posted by niman

  1. After Singapore, Vietnam confirms 2 cases of new coronavirus Agence France-Presse Posted at Jan 23 2020 10:44 PM Share Save Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Two Chinese nationals in Vietnam have tested positive for the SARS-like coronavirus and are being treated in hospital, officials said Thursday. A Chinese man living in Ho Chi Minh City was infected by his father who traveled to Vietnam on January 13 from the Chinese city of Wuhan, the epicenter of the virus. The father was hospitalized on January 17 with a high fever, days before his son showed symptoms, health officials said. Both were quarantined and tested positive for novel coronavirus, a new infection that has already killed 17 people in China and infected more than 570. "The patients have shown signs of good recovery, (their) fever has reduced and they can eat now," Doctor Nguyen Ngoc Sang said Thursday at a meeting at Ho Chi Minh City's Cho Ray hospital. Vietnam's deputy health minister urged all precautions to avoid any further spread. "We should immediately test any suspected cases so that we can detect (the disease) quicker. We don't want it to spread to the public," Nguyen Truong Son said at the meeting attended by reporters. Vietnam shares a long porous border with China and welcomes millions of visitors a year from its northern neighbor. Japan, Hong Kong, Macau, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore and the United States have all reported confirmed cases of the new virus after it first emerged in China on December 31.
  2. A Chinese man living in Ho Chi Minh City was infected by his father who traveled to Vietnam on January 13 from the Chinese city of Wuhan, the epicenter of the virus. https://news.abs-cbn.com/overseas/01/23/20/after-singapore-vietnam-confirms-2-cases-of-new-coronavirus
  3. Jan 22 1 hr update http://mediaarchives.gsradio.net/rense/special/rense_012220_hr3.mp3
  4. Jan 20 30 minute update http://mediaarchives.gsradio.net/rense/special/rense_012020_Niman.mp3
  5. Singapore confirms first case of Wuhan virus The 66-year-old patient from Wuhan arrived in Singapore on Jan 20, 2020. He is warded at Singapore General Hospital and is in a stable condition.ST PHOTO: DESMOND FOO PUBLISHED 2 MIN AGO FACEBOOKTWITTER Timothy Goh Toh Ting Wei SINGAPORE - A China national has tested positive for the Wuhan virus in Singapore, with another likely to have the virus. The 66-year-old man, a Wuhan resident, arrived in Singapore with nine travelling companions on Monday (Jan 20), and stayed at Shangri-La's Rasa Sentosa resort, the Ministry of Health said at a briefing on Thursday night (Jan 23). A 53-year-old woman, also a China national but not travelling with the group, has come up positive in preliminary tests, which are awaiting confirmation. In addition, the man's son, 37, is a suspected case and has also been warded, while the rest of the group are being quarantined and monitored for two weeks. However, there was no evidence that the virus had spread to anyone here, the ministry said. After widening the net to include screening of temperatures of all air travellers from China, the number of suspected cases in Singapore has increased. The ministry said that in total, it has had 28 suspected cases aged one to 78 years. Seven people have been cleared. "All measures will be taken to contain its possible spread," said the ministry's director of communicable diseases Vernon Lee. More cases are expected, he added, given the large number of cases in China and high travel volume from the country to Singapore. As for the first case here, he had already been isolated and was no longer a risk to the public, he stressed. "There's no need for general public to panic or do any special measures." Close contacts of confirmed cases will be quarantined. On Thursday, as part of measures to shore up defences against the virus, the newly-formed multi-ministry task force met for the first time, and decided to enhance border control and intensify border screening. This will be expanded to land and sea checkpoints by Friday morning. The virus, now known as 2019-nCoV, can now be passed from person to person, has already killed 17 people and infected at least 540 throughout China, with cases also surfacing in Taiwan, Japan, Macau, Thailand, Vietnam and the United States. The Chinese health authorities have so far been unable to determine the origin of the virus but they say the new virus, which has no vaccine, is mutating and spreading. Infections are expected to spike over the Chinese New Year weekend, as a large number of travellers travel to and from, as well as within China. MOH has said that all travellers should monitor their health closely for two weeks upon return to Singapore and seek medical attention promptly if they feel unwell. They should also inform their doctors of their travel history. The ministry has also advised people not to travel to Wuhan, the epicentre of the outbreak. It has asked travellers to avoid contact with live animals and the consumption of raw or undercooked meats, and to observe good personal hygiene. Temperature screening at Changi Airport was expanded to cover all inbound travellers on flights arriving from China since Wednesday.
  6. The 66-year-old man, a Wuhan resident, arrived in Singapore with nine travelling companions on Monday (Jan 20), and stayed at Shangri-La's Rasa Sentosa resort, the Ministry of Health said at a briefing on Thursday night (Jan 23). https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/health/singapore-confirms-first-case-of-wuhan-virus
  7. The 66-year-old man, a Wuhan resident, arrived in Singapore with nine travelling companions on Monday (Jan 20), and stayed at Shangri-La's Rasa Sentosa resort, the Ministry of Health said at a briefing on Thursday night (Jan 23). A 53-year-old woman, also a China national but not travelling with the group, has come up positive in preliminary tests, which are awaiting confirmation. https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/health/singapore-confirms-first-case-of-wuhan-virus
  8.  From 12:00 on January 22, 2020 to 12:00 on January 23, 2020, 17 new cases of pneumonia diagnosed with new coronavirus infection were newly added in Zhejiang Province, including 5 in Hangzhou, 2 in Ningbo, 2 in Wenzhou, 1 in Shaoxing, and 1 in Jinhua. Cases, 1 case in Luzhou and 5 cases in Taizhou.   As of 12:00 on January 23, 2020, a total of 27 confirmed cases of pneumonia with new coronavirus infection were reported, including 6 in Hangzhou, 5 in Ningbo, 6 in Wenzhou, 1 in Shaoxing, 1 in Zhoushan, 1 in Jinhua, and 1 in Luzhou. Cases, 6 cases in Taizhou. All cases have a history of residence, travel and close contact in Wuhan. At present, they are receiving isolation treatment at designated medical institutions, with 3 severe cases, 1 critical case, and the rest are stable. Close contacts are undergoing medical observation, and no respiratory-related symptoms such as fever have been found.
  9. Pneumonia outbreak of new coronavirus infection in Zhejiang Province Date: 2020-01-23 13:47 Source: Provincial health committee Views:   From 12:00 on January 22, 2020 to 12:00 on January 23, 2020, 17 new cases of pneumonia diagnosed with new coronavirus infection were newly added in Zhejiang Province, including 5 in Hangzhou, 2 in Ningbo, 2 in Wenzhou, 1 in Shaoxing, and 1 in Jinhua. Cases, 1 case in Luzhou and 5 cases in Taizhou.   As of 12:00 on January 23, 2020, a total of 27 confirmed cases of pneumonia with new coronavirus infection were reported, including 6 in Hangzhou, 5 in Ningbo, 6 in Wenzhou, 1 in Shaoxing, 1 in Zhoushan, 1 in Jinhua, and 1 in Luzhou. Cases, 6 cases in Taizhou. All cases have a history of residence, travel and close contact in Wuhan. At present, they are receiving isolation treatment at designated medical institutions, with 3 severe cases, 1 critical case, and the rest are stable. Close contacts are undergoing medical observation, and no respiratory-related symptoms such as fever have been found.   On the morning of January 23, the provincial government convened a meeting of the leading group on epidemic prevention and control to study and deploy the epidemic prevention and control in our province. The meeting called for the establishment of joint prevention, joint control, group prevention and group control working mechanisms, implementation of the most stringent isolation of medical observation and epidemic monitoring, the most effective medical treatment, and the most adequate preparation of materials. Prevent and control the pneumonia epidemic situation of new coronavirus infection, and protect the safety and health of the people.   Experts remind that there is a high incidence of respiratory infectious diseases in winter and spring, and indoor and public places must maintain indoor air circulation. The public should wash their hands frequently, pay attention to personal hygiene, and wear masks when going to crowded places. If you have fever or respiratory infection symptoms, especially if the fever persists, go to a medical institution for a fever clinic. https://www.zjwjw.gov.cn/art/2020/1/23/art_1202101_41854041.html
  10. 27 confirmed cases of pneumonia with new coronavirus infection were reported, including 6 in Hangzhou, 5 in Ningbo, 6 in Wenzhou, 1 in Shaoxing, 1 in Zhoushan, 1 in Jinhua, and 1 in Luzhou. Cases, 6 cases in Taizhou.
  11. Cases of the new coronavirus pneumonia disease rose to 571 on the Chinese mainland as of Wednesday midnight, including 95 in critical condition, and fatalities rose to 17, China's National Health Commission said on Thursday morning. In addition, 393 suspected cases were reported as of Wednesday midnight. http://global.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202001/23/WS5e28b8a0a310128217272dca.html
  12. Epidemic situation of new coronavirus infection in Guangdong Province on January 23, 2020 Time: 2020-01-23 10:45:58 source: this website   At 04:00 on January 22, 2020, Guangdong Province reported 6 new confirmed cases of pneumonia due to new coronavirus infection. among them:   Zhongshan and Zhaoqing each had 1 case as the first confirmed case. Among the newly confirmed cases in the other two cities, 3 were in Guangzhou and 1 in Shenzhen.   As of 24:00 on January 22, Guangdong Province had reported a total of 32 confirmed cases of pneumonitis with new coronavirus infection, 12 severe cases, 3 critical cases, and no deaths. among them:   Among the confirmed cases, 5 were in Guangzhou, 15 in Shenzhen, 4 in Zhuhai, 1 in Foshan, 2 in Shaoguan, 1 in Huizhou, 1 in Zhongshan, 2 in Zhanjiang, and 1 in Zhaoqing. Among the severe cases, 8 were in Shenzhen, Zhuhai, One in Foshan, one in Shaoguan, and one in Huizhou. Among the critical cases, two were in Shenzhen and one in Zhuhai.   At present, 212 close contacts have been traced, all of them under medical observation.   Among the 32 confirmed cases in our province, 17 were males and 15 were females, aged between 10 and 81 years. Among them, 28 cases had a history of living or traveling in Hubei before onset, and 4 cases had no Hubei before onset. Residents' history or travel history, but they are all family members of imported cases in Hubei. A total of 6 cluster epidemics were found, all of which were clusters of families, involving 17 cases and no medical staff. http://wsjkw.gd.gov.cn/zwyw_yqxx/content/post_2878571.html
  13. As of 24:00 on January 22, Guangdong Province had reported a total of 32 confirmed cases of pneumonitis with new coronavirus infection, 12 severe cases, 3 critical cases, and no deaths. among them:
  14. Shanghai Securities News China Securities News According to Shanghai ’s WeChat public account news on January 23, the Shanghai Health and Medical Commission announced this morning (23) that from January 22 to 04:00, 7 new cases of coronavirus were added in Shanghai The confirmed cases of infected pneumonia have been treated in isolation at designated hospitals. Among the patients, 4 were males and 3 were females, all of which were associated with Wuhan epidemiology. Among them, a 88-year-old male patient with cardiopulmonary insufficiency was in critical condition. Close contacts are receiving medical observation.   As of 24:00 on January 22, a total of 16 confirmed cases were found in Shanghai, of which one was critically ill and the remaining 15 were in stable condition. Another 22 suspected cases are under investigation. http://news.cnstock.com/news,bwkx-202001-4482057.htm
  15. As of 24:00 on January 22, a total of 16 confirmed cases were found in Shanghai, of which one was critically ill and the remaining 15 were in stable condition. Another 22 suspected cases are under investigation.
  16. Share on facebook3 Share on twitter Share on linkedin Share on reddit2 Share on mailto Many travelers wore protective face masks at Shanghai’s high-speed railway station today. Hundreds of millions of people are traveling this week to attend Lunar New Year celebrations. BLOOMBERG/GETTY IMAGES WHO panel puts off decision on whether to sound alarm on rapid spread of new virus By Jon CohenJan. 22, 2020 , 5:45 PM An emergency committee for the World Health Organization (WHO) today had a tie vote on whether to recommend sounding the loudest alarm available in response to the outbreak of a novel coronavirus that has spread from Wuhan, China, throughout that nation and to at least four other countries. At a late evening press conference in Geneva, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, chair of the committee, and other WHO officials explained that half the committee decided there were still too many unknowns to a declare Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC), a designation that can affect travel and the movement of goods. The decision came hours after Wuhan authorities revealed that the city will shut down all transportation from the city of 11 million people on 10 a.m. local time on Thursday. Didier Houssin, an adviser to France’s top health agency and chair of the committee, said half the committee still had questions about whether the patterns of transmission of the disease and its severity warranted a PHEIC. “The committee felt it was a little too unprecise to very clearly state that it was time” to recommend declaring a PHEIC, Houssin said. The committee, which advises WHO’s director-general, will meet again tomorrow to review whether fresh data tip the scales one way or another. Alexandra Phelan, a lawyer at Georgetown University who specializes in global health policy and listened in on the press call, says based on Chinese government and media reports, she thinks the criteria for a PHEIC have been met. But the committee is focusing on a “level of granularity” not in the International Health Regulations, the treaty that allows WHO to declare a PHEIC, Phelan says. “It really came down to their interpretation of what is ‘international spread,’” Phelan says. If all known cases outside China were in people who had traveled from China, some might argue that it does not count as international spread, she says. But the available data may not be clear enough to know whether that’s the case. Phelan, who has lived in China, says the reports of Wuhan restricting transportation are “particularly concerning from a public health perspective” as they could backfire. “You want people to have trust in public health officials if they are sick, and these sorts of heavy-handed decisions make people scared and mistrust authority.” To date, there have been 555 confirmed cases of infection with the virus, temporarily dubbed novel coronavirus 2019, and 17 deaths. About 80% of the cases are in Wuhan, where the first patient sought care on 12 December 2019 and a cluster initially was linked to a large animal market there. Health officials suspect that an infected animal for sale at the market initially transmitted the virus to humans, but human-to-human transmission has since occurred in family members and health care workers who had close contact with confirmed cases. The exact origin of the virus, which is similar to one that causes sudden acute respiratory syndrome and is most closely related to one found in bats, remains a mystery. Animals sold in the market are being tested for the virus, and environmental samples are also being analyzed. Mike Ryan, executive director of WHO’s Health Emergencies Programme, said an official from China’s National Health Commission today gave the committee a “very deep presentation” that underscores how many questions remain. According to the Chinese data, 72% of the cases were more than 40 years old, and 40% had underlying diseases like diabetes, high blood pressure, and cardiovascular disease, Ryan said. “If the disease more severely affects older people because of underlying conditions, that doesn’t mean there aren’t infections in other age groups,” he said. “It just means that the visible infections of very sick people are in those older age groups.” Many of the fatal cases had “significant underlying conditions,” Ryan added. No cases have yet been detected of what’s known as a third-generation transmission: a human infected by a human who was infected by a human. If transmissions occur for three generations or more, there’s a much greater threat of a virus rapidly spreading through communities. Posted in: Health doi:10.1126/science.abb0132 Jon Cohen Jon is a staff writer for Science. Email Jon https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/who-panel-puts-decision-whether-sound-alarm-rapid-spread-new-virus
  17. Accession ID: EPI_ISL_403932 Type: betacoronavirus Passage details/history: Original Sample information Collection date: 2020-01-14 Location: Guangdong, China Host: Human Additional location information: Shenzhen City
  18. Accession ID: EPI_ISL_403933 Type: betacoronavirus Passage details/history: Original Sample information Collection date: 2020-01-15 Location: Guangdong, China Host: Human Additional location information: Shenzhen City
  19. Accession ID: EPI_ISL_403934 Type: betacoronavirus Passage details/history: Original Sample information Collection date: 2020-01-15 Location: Guangdong, China Host: Human Additional location information: Shenzhen City
  20. Accession ID: EPI_ISL_403935 Type: betacoronavirus Passage details/history: Original Sample information Collection date: 2020-01-15 Location: Guangdong, China Host: Human Additional location information: Shenzhen City
  21. Accession ID: EPI_ISL_403936 Type: betacoronavirus Passage details/history: Original Sample information Collection date: 2020-01-17 Location: Guangdong, China Host: Human Additional location information: Zhuhai City
  22. Virus detail Virus name: BetaCoV/Guangdong/20SF040/2020 Accession ID: EPI_ISL_403937 Type: betacoronavirus Passage details/history: Original Sample information Collection date: 2020-01-18 Location: Guangdong, China Host: Human Additional location information: Zhuhai City
  23. Coronavirus: China advises against travel to Wuhan as deaths surge 4 hours ago Share this with Facebook Share this with Messenger Share this with Twitter Share this with Email Share Chinese authorities have urged people to stop travelling in and out of Wuhan, the city at the centre of a new virus outbreak that has killed 17 people. Those living in the city of 8.9 million people have also been told to avoid crowds and minimise public gatherings. The new virus has spread from Wuhan to several Chinese provinces, as well as the US, Thailand and South Korea. There are 440 confirmed cases, with the origin a seafood market that "conducted illegal transactions of wild animals". Late on Wednesday the Chinese authorities confirmed the number of dead had almost doubled - from nine - in the space of a day. All fatalities so far have been in Hubei, the province around Wuhan. Officials in Hong Kong also reported the territory's first two cases. Meanwhile, in Geneva, the World Health Organization's emergency committee is meeting to assess the global risks posed by the virus and decide if it should be declared an international public health emergency - as happened with swine flu and Ebola. Such a declaration, if made, could see advice issued on travel or trade restrictions. China drug makers soar on virus contagion fears Chinese virus: How worried should we be? Chinese social media users worry over virus Chinese authorities admitted the country was now at the "most critical stage" of prevention and control. "Basically, do not go to Wuhan. And those in Wuhan please do not leave the city," said National Health Commission vice-minister Li Bin in one of the first public briefings since the beginning of the outbreak. Earlier this week, China confirmed that human-to-human transmission of the virus had taken place. The virus, known also as 2019-nCoV, is understood to be a new strain of coronavirus that has not previously been identified in humans. The Sars virus that killed nearly 800 people globally in the early 2000s was also a coronavirus. Signs of infection with the new virus include respiratory symptoms, fever, cough, shortness of breath and breathing difficulties. The first US case was confirmed on Tuesday. President Donald Trump said the situation was "totally under control" and that he trusted the information being provided by Chinese authorities. What is the latest on the outbreak? Media captionChina health officials: "Don't go to Wuhan, don't leave Wuhan" Mr Li said there was evidence that the disease was "mainly transmitted through the respiratory tract". In general, coughs and sneezes are a highly effective way for viruses to spread. But China has still not been able to confirm the exact source of the virus. "Though the transmission route of the virus is yet to be fully understood, there is a possibility of virus mutation and a risk of further spread of the epidemic," said Mr Li. He added that there were 2,197 people who were known to have come into contact with infected patients. No "super spreader" - a patient who has transmitted the virus to more than 10 people - has been discovered so far. At least 15 medical workers in Wuhan, who presumably came into contact with patients, are known to be infected. Wuhan: Heart of the outbreak Image copyrightWANG ZHAO It's not a Chinese mega-city as well known as Beijing or Shanghai, but Wuhan has connections with every part of the globe. Only slightly smaller than London, the city is home to an international airport that handles tens of millions of passengers each year. These global links explain why the cases of the virus abroad have all involved people either from Wuhan or who had recently visited it. The city has economic clout too - nearly half of the world's 500 biggest companies have invested there. Read more about Wuhan How fast is the virus spreading? There's no way to know but it's likely to be exacerbated by the millions of people across China who are travelling within the country for the Lunar New Year week-long holiday. Thousands are also travelling abroad. Image copyrightKEVIN FRAYER Image captionAuthorities confirmed that human-to-human transmission of the virus had taken place Mr Li added that the festival would "increase the risk of the disease spreading and the difficulty of prevention and control". He said strict measures to control the disease would be put in place, calling for those in Wuhan to "avoid crowds and minimise public gatherings". These measures include temperature screening for all those leaving Wuhan, and improved sterilisation and ventilation at major transport hubs. New China virus: Your questions answered A ban on the trade of live poultry and wild animals has also been implemented in the city. State media reports said police were conducting spot checks to make sure this was enforced. The disease may have originally been passed from an animal to a human, said Gao Fu, director of the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention. Image copyrightGETTY IMAGES Image captionThe outbreak is believed to have come from a market trading illegal wildlife in Wuhan Where else have cases been reported? There have been a handful of global cases: three cases in Thailand, one in Korea, one in Japan, one in Taiwan and one in the US. On Wednesday, the city of Macau also reported its first confirmed case of the virus. The patient is said to be a businesswoman who arrived from Wuhan over the weekend. Authorities in many places, including Australia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, the US, Russia and Japan have stepped up screening of air passengers from Wuhan. The UK is expected to begin screening passengers arriving at London's Heathrow airport from Wuhan. Image copyrightGETTY IMAGES Image captionAirports around the world have stepped up screening of passengers In Australia, a man who had travelled to Wuhan has been placed in isolation and is undergoing tests. Are the numbers accurate? Experts say there could be many cases going undetected and they expect the official numbers to rapidly increase. Researchers from the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London now estimate that there have probably been about 4,000 cases in Wuhan. The centre's director, Prof Neil Ferguson, however said that the Chinese authorities had been "remarkably open" amid an "enormously demanding situation". How the virus has spread 31 December: China alerts the WHO about a spate of pneumonia-like cases in Wuhan 1 January: The seafood/animal market believed to be at the centre of the outbreak is closed 9 January: WHO says the infection is caused by a new type of coronavirus 11 January: First death confirmed 13 January: Virus spreads abroad, with a suspected case in Thailand 16 January: A case in Japan is confirmed 17 January: Second death - a 69-year-old in Wuhan 20 January: Number of cases triples to more than 200, and outbreak spreads to Beijing, Shenzhen and Shanghai; third death confirmed; Chinese officials confirm human-to-human transmission 21 January: US authorities announce the first case in North America - a man who had visited Wuhan 22 January: Death toll climbs to 17, with more than 400 cases confirmed
  24. Chinese authorities admitted the country was now at the "most critical stage" of prevention and control. "Basically, do not go to Wuhan. And those in Wuhan please do not leave the city," said National Health Commission vice-minister Li Bin in one of the first public briefings since the beginning of the outbreak https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51202000
  25. Discussions to resume tomorrow

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